FORECAST.2024

 Forecast..2024

2020 vote percents.. 

Kamla,   vs    Trump.........

How many ec votes for Trumo?

....

PLEASE REFER TO

https://america1900to2025.blogspot.com/2024/09/2020-american-electio.html


FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THE

BLACK AND LATINO PERCENTAGE IN EACH STATE.

.......


EAST

1. FLORIDA   47.86%  ...51.22% 

29

2.GEORGIA..49.47%......49.24%

16

3.SOUTH CAROLINA..43.43%... 55.11%

9

4.NORTH CAROLINA..48.59%..49.93%

15

5.VIRGINIA...54.11%......44.00%

13

6. MARYLAND..65.36%...33 %

10

7. COLUMBIA DC...92.15%...5.40%

3

8. DELAWARE...58.74 %....39.77%

3

9.. NEWJERSEY...57.33%....41.40%

14

10. PENNSYLVANIA....49.85%...48.69%

20

11. CONNECTICUT..59.26%...39.19 %

7

12. NEWYORK...60.87%...37.74%

29

13. RHODE ISLAND...59.39%...38.61%

4

14. MASSACHUSETS..65.60%..32.14%

11

15. VERMONT...66.09%....30.67%

3

16. NEWHAMPSHIRE...52.71%..45.36%

4

17. MAINE...53.09%..44.02%

2

.............

Total 192  in 17 states

103 for kamla... 12 statex

38 for trump........ 2 states

51  ..swing..           3 states

Ok

.............



....

NORTH

18. MICHIGAN     .50.62%....47.84%

16

19. WISCONSIN  ...49.45%....48.82%

10

20. MINNESOTA..52.40%...45.28%

10

21. SOUTH DAKOTA..35.61%.. 61.77%

3

22. NORTH DAKOTA..31.78 %.. 65.12%

3

23. MONTANA..40.55%... 56.92%

3

24. IDAHO...33.07%...  63.84%

4

....

Total 49

Zero for kamala

23  for trump in 5 states

26  swing in 2 states

Ok

......



WEST

.

25. WASHINGTON..57.97%..  38.77%

12

26. OREGON..56.45%..      40.37%

7

27. CALIFORNIA..63.48%... 34.32%

.55.


Total  74  in 3 states

Zero for trump

74  for kamla in 3 states

No swing states



SOUTH

..

28. ALABAMA..36.57%..  62.03%

9

29. MISSISIPI...41.06%... 57.60%

6

30. TENNESSEY..37.45%.. 60.66%

11

31. LOUSIANA..39.85%,  58.46%

8

32. ARKANSAS..34.78%,  62.40%

6

33. TEXAS...46.48%,  52.06%

38

34. OKLAHOMA..32.29%,   65.37%

7


35. NEW MEXICO...54.29%,  43.50%

5

36. ARIZONA....49.36%,  49.06%

11


Ttal 101


85  for trump in 7 states

5  for kamla in 1 state

11  in swing state 1

ok

...

MID SOUTH

..

37 NEVADA..50.06%,   47.67%

6

38. UTAH..37.65%  ,    58.13%

6

39. COLORADO..55.40%,   41.90%

9

40. KANSAS 41.51%,              56.14%

6


41. MISSOURI  41.41%,          56.80%

10

42. KENTUCKY 36.15%           62.09%

8

43. WEST VIRGINIA  29.69%  68.62%

5

Total  50


35 for trump in  5 state

15 for kamla in 2 states

No swing state

Ok

....


MID NORTH

..

44. OHIO         45.24%        53.27%

18

45. INDIANA  40.96%        57.03%

11

46. ILLINOIS  57.54%        40.55%

20

47. IOWA      44.89%          53.09%

6

48. NEBRASKA   39.17%   58.22%

2

49. WYOMING....26.55%  69.94%

3

.total 60

Trump  40  in  5 states

Kamla   20  in  1 state

No swing state

Ok



50.  ALASKA 42.77%       52.83%

3

51.  HAWAI  63.73%.      .34.27%

4




As it is ,trump is sure to get 224

Kamala is sure to get the entire east from virginia to Maine, 

Only pennsylvania is  doubtful.

.

Kamala gets all the three states in west.

So east and ŵest will guve her

East 103

West 74

Hawai 4

Colorado  9

Newmexico 5

Illinois  20

215

.....

The following are swing states.

1.    GEORGIA..                   .16

2.    NORTH CAROLINA.   .15

3.    PENNSYLVANIA        ..20

4.    MICHIGAN.                 .16

5.    WISCONSIN                .10

6.    ARIZONA                      11

..........

Total  88 electoral college votes

In six states.

If trump gets georgia, pensylvania and

Wisconsin, his tally will be 224 + 46

= 270.

Trump is very likely to retain 

North Carolina. (15 ec votes)

If so his tally will be  285


Similarly, if kamala gets   ,michigan and arizona, her tally will be  215 + 27 = 242

285 + 242 = 527

Somehow there seem to be 11 more ec votes.

Even if these 11 votes go to kamla,

Her tally will be 253 only  compared to 285 of Trhmp.



Total ec voies  538


Two states, Maine and Nebraska, allow their electoral votes to be split between candidates by congressional districts. The winner of each congressional district gets one electoral vote for the district. The winner of the statewide vote gets two additional electoral votes

I think Maine has 2 and Nebraska 3 such  congressional districts.


Nebraska extra votes will go to

trump.

Maine extra votes will go to kamla.

.

So Trump will be the next president.

Especially since  Hawai democrat Tulsi Hebbard and Robert Kennedy jr are backing Trump.



..






..





Total ec votes are

EAST  

NORTH

WEST

SOUTH

MID SOUTH

MID NORTH

FAROUT








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