Voting pattern 2000 to 2020

 Voting pattern

2000 to 2020

RSR

I .


Putin came to power in Russia in 2000.

So, my focus on american election is from 2000 to 2024  only.

...

2000 ..Bush..

2004 ..Bush

.....

2008..Obama

2012..Obama

..

2016..Trump

..

2020. Biden

.

2024..  ? Trump ?

..... 

There are 51 states in USA.

Majority of these states  are strongly polarized. ..either democratic or republican.

.

This is an attempt to classify  the

firm democratic and firm republican states. 

In 6 elections

1992..Bill Clinton

1996..Bill Clinton..Democrat

................

......putin era begins


2000,  George Bush.. republican

 2004,  George Bush.. republican


2008,  Obama.. democrat

2012,   Obama..democrat


2016,  Donald Trump..republican


2020   joe biden.     .democrat


.....

1

Georgia.

Ec votes. 16

Georgia

Black     32.4

Latino 9.63%

Biden won by 0.2 %.

That is why it became a swing state


2020 49.5% biden   49.3%   trump..

2016 45.6% hilary 50.8% trump

.

2012 

45.5% obama ,,,,53.3% 

2008 

47.0%  obama,,,,52.2% 


2004 41.4%,,,, 58.0% bush

2000 43.0% ,,,,54.7% bush

..............

2

South carolina

Ec votes. 9

.Black 27.1

Latino

.

2020 

43.4% biden,,,55.1% trump

2016 

40.7% hilary ,,54.9% trump

2012

 44.1%  obama, ,,54.6%  

2008 

 44.9% obama,,  ,53.9%  

2004 

 40.9% ,,,,,58.0% bush

...

2000

 40.9%             ,,,56.8% bush

....

..


:

.....

3

North carolina

Ec votes..15

Black 22.2

Latino 9.54%



In 2008, Barack Obama reversed the trend of Republican dominance here (although just barely), defeating John McCain by about 14,000 votes out of 4.3 million cast (49.7% to 49.4%). In percentage terms, it was the 2nd closest race of the 2008 election (behind Missouri). 

In 2012, North Carolina was again the 2nd closest race (this time behind Florida) as the state flipped Republican. Mitt Romney beat Obama by about 2%. 

Donald Trump won the state by 3.6% over Hillary Clinton in 2016 and by 1.3% over Joe Biden in 2020.

..

2020 

48.6% biden,,,,49.9% trump

2016 

46.2% hilary,,,,49.8% trump

2012 

48.4% obama,,,50.4%       

2008 

49.7% obama,,,, 49.4%       

2004 

 43.6%                     56.0% bush

2000 

43.2% ...................56.0% bush

:..

4

Alabama

Safe red

.ec votes 9

Black 26.8

Latino 4.35%


2020

 36.6%  biden,,,,,,,62.0% trump

2016 

 34.4% hilary........62.1% trump

2012 

 38.4% obama,,,,60.6%

2008 

obama 38.7% .....R.  60.3% 

2004 36.8% ........62.5% bush

2000 41.6% ........56.5% bush

:


.....

5

Missisipi

Ec votes 6

Black 37.8

Latino 3.16%

Since 1972, the state has voted Republican, except for 1976 when it supported Jimmy Carter of Georgia. Unlike many other southern states, Mississippi has not experienced great population growth; the 2000 census led to the state being reduced from seven to six electoral votes, the lowest number since 1848. In 2020, Donald Trump easily won the state by 58% to Joe Biden's 41%

Blue, red

.

2020 

biden 41.1% 

57.6% trump


2016 

hilary 40.1% 

57.9% trump

2012 

obama43.8% .......55.3%  R

2008

Obama 43.0% .......56.2%  R    

2004 

39.8% 

 59.5% Bush

2000

 40.7%

57.6% bush

.

....

6

ARKANSAS

Ec votes  6

Black 15.7

Latino 7.62%

In 1968, the state sided with third-party candidate George Wallace. Since then, it has gone Republican in ten of thirteen elections, voting Democratic twice for

 fellow Arkansan Bill Clinton and once for Jimmy Carter.


 In recent elections, it has become a solidly red state, with the Republican margin of victory increasing in each of the last five elections. In 2020, Donald Trump defeated Joe Biden by almost 28 points.


:2020 

 34.8% biden......62.4%  trump

2016 

33.7% biden........60.6% Trump

2012 

36.9%  obama.....    60.6%   repub       

2008 

38.9% obama ....  58.7%    R      

2004 

44.6% D  .........  54.3% bush

2000 

45.9% R ........    51.3% Bush

...

7

lousiana

Ec votes  8

Lousiana

Black 32.7

Latino 5.22

Although perceived as solidly Republican today (Donald Trump won by nearly 20% over Joe Biden in 2020), Louisiana has voted Democratic three times since 1976 when the nominee of that party was a Southern governor. Jimmy Carter won there in 1976, as did Bill Clinton, both in 1992 and 1996.

Blue , red


.2020 

39.9%           58.5% trump

2016 

38.5%           58.1% trump

2012 

40.6%  obama         57.8% R        

2008 

39.9%  obama          58.6%  R       

2004 

42.2%           56.7% bush

2000 

44.9%            52.6% bush

.

8

TEXAS

Ec votes 38

Black 12.8

Latino 39.44%

From 1872 through 1976, Texas went Democratic in the vast majority of elections. However, that changed in 1980, and Texas has sided with the Republicans ever since. Having a Bush on the ticket each election from 1980 through 2004 (except 1996) helped make Texas a reliably “red” state. In 2020, Donald Trump won the state by 6.5% over Joe Biden, the narrowest margin since 1996.

Texas’ population has grown rapidly in recent decades, and it has added two or more electoral votes in each Census since 1980. The 2020 Census population of 29.1 million was up four million from 2010. No state had a larger numeric increase in the past decade. The state's 40 electoral votes are second only to California’s 54. This large electoral prize, coupled with shifting demographics, will likely make Texas a major battleground in upcoming presidential elections.


ELECTORAL VOTES

38

2020

40



2020 

46.5%  Biden ....52.1% trump

2016 

43.2% Hilary... 52.2% trump

2012 

41.4% obama...... 47.2%  R       

2008 

33.7% 55.5%         

2004 

38.2% 61.1% bush

2000 

38.0% 59.3% bush 

:

:..

9

Newmexico

5 ec votes

Black 2.6

Latino 49.2%


2020 54.3% 43.5% biden

2016 48.3% 40.0%

2012 53.0% 42.8% obama

2008 56.9% 41.8%  obama

2004 49.1% 49.8% bush

2000 47.9% 47.9% bush

:

10

ARIZONA

Black 5.1

Latino 31.51%


The state has traditionally gone Republican in presidential elections. Except for Bill Clinton’s win in 1996, Arizona voted Republican from 1952 through 2016. However, that 2016 election saw Donald Trump win by a narrower margin than other recent GOP nominees and in 2020 Joe Biden won the state by 0.3%. Biden's 49.4% support was the highest level for a Democratic candidate since 1964.


The Grand Canyon State’s population has grown rapidly in the past half century, and its number of electoral votes has almost tripled from four in 1960. In a bit of a surprise, the state did not gain an additional electoral vote after the 2020 Census.


ELECTORAL VOTES

11

2024 ELECTION

Blue, red

.

2020 49.4% 49.1% trump

2016 45.1% 48.7% trump

2012 44.6% 53.7%    obama 

2008 45.1% 53.6       obama

2004 44.4% 54.9% bush

2000 44.7% 51.0% bush

.

...

Mid south

...

Nevada

Nevada

Black 10.1

Latino 28.9%

2020 50.1%   47.7% 

bidenAlthough Republicans were dominant from the late 60s to late 80s, this influx of population has put Nevada squarely into the battleground state category. In 2016, Hillary Clinton beat Donald Trump by a margin of 48% to 46%. That year and 1976 were the only two times since 1912 that Nevadans had sided with the candidate that did not win the presidency. In 2020, Joe Biden won by about 2.5% over Trump.


ELECTORAL VOTES

6

2020 50.1% 47.7% biden


2016 47.9% 45.5% hilary clinton

2012 52.4% 45.7% obama

2008 55.2% 42.7% obama

2004 47.9% 50.5% bush

2000 46.0% 49.5% bush

:

:

........

UTAH:..

Utahans voted for Democrat Franklin Roosevelt four times (1932 through 1944) and for his successor Harry S. Truman in 1948. Aside from that period, the state has only voted for Democrats twice, the last time being in 1964 when Lyndon Johnson won a landslide victory over Barry Goldwater. In 2012, Mitt Romney defeated Barack Obama, by 72.8% to 24.8%. This was the largest margin of victory in any of the 50 states since Ronald Reagan beat Walter Mondale here by 74.5% to 24.7% in 1984.


While Donald Trump won in 2016, he failed to receive a majority of votes, winning 45.5% to 27.5% over Hillary Clinton. Trump enjoyed less support than prior Republicans with the state's large Mormon population. Mormon conservative Evan McMullin provided these voters with an alternative. McMullin received over 21.5% of the vote, the best 3rd party performance in any single state since Ross Perot in 1992. While Joe Biden lost to Trump by 20% in 2020, his 37.7% support was the highest for a Democratic nominee since 1964.


Utah saw the largest percentage growth in population - about 18.4% - over the past decade. This did not result in a change in electoral votes, as the state had just added one after the 2010 Census.


ELECTORAL VOTES

6

Utah

Black 1.4

Latino 14.16%

.

2020 37.7% 58.1% trump

2016 27.5% 45.5% trump

2012 24.8% 72.8%          obama

2008 34.4% 62.6%           obama

2004 26.0% 71.5%           bush

2000 26.3% 66.8%           bush

:

.Colorado

.After voting primarily Republican from 1920-2004, the state has voted with the Democrats in the last four presidential elections, including Joe Biden's 13.5% margin in 2020. That marked the first double-digit Democratic margin here since Lyndon Johnson won by 23% over Barry Goldwater in 1964.

.

10 ec votes

Colorado

Black 4.6

Latino 21.66%

....

2020 55.4% 41.9% trump

2016 48.2% 43.3% trump

2012 51.5% 46.1% obama

2008 53.7% 44.7% obama

2004 47.0% 51.7% bush

2000 42.4% 50.8% bush

:

..

KANSAS

The state is strongly Republican in presidential elections; it hasn’t voted for a Democrat since 1964, when Lyndon Johnson won the presidency in a landslide. In 2020, Donald Trump won by 56% to 42% over Joe Biden..

6 ec votes

Kansas

Black..6.1

Latino 12.07%

..

2020 41.6% 56.2% trump

2016 36.1% 56.7% trump

2012 38.0% 59.7% obama

2008 41.7% 56.6% obama

2004 36.6% 62.0% bush

2000 37.2% 58.0% bush

...

:

Oklahoma

.black 7.8

Latino 10.93%...


2020 32.3% 65.4%

2016 28.9% 65.3%

2012 33.2% 66.8%

2008 34.4% 65.7%

2004 34.4% 65.6%

2000 38.4% 60.3%

...:

MISSOURI

Black..11.8

Latino 4.29%


2020 41.4% 56.8%  trump

2016 38.1% 56.8%  trump

2012 44.4% 53.8% obama

2008 49.3% 49.4% obama

2004 46.1% 53.3% bush

2000 47.1% 50.4% bush

.

KENTUKY


Kentuky

Black 8.4

Latino

..

2020 36.2% 62.1%

2016 32.7% 62.5%

2012 37.8% 60.5%

2008 41.2% 57.4%

2004 39.7% 59.6%

2000 41.4% 56.5%


:.

TENNESSY

21 ec votes

.



2020 37.5% 60.7%

2016 34.7% 60.7%

2012 39.1% 59.5%

2008 41.8% 56.9%

2004 42.5% 56.8%

2000 47.3% 51.2%


:

.........

WEST VIRGINIA

4 ec votes


Since then, the state has become solidly Republican, with that party winning by an increasing margin in each election from 2000 through 2016.

 Donald Trump defeated Hillary Clinton by 42% in 2016 and Joe Biden by 39% in 2020. In both cases, it was Trump's 2nd largest margin, trailing only Wyoming.

.

2020 29.7% 68.6%

2016 26.4% 68.5%

2012 35.5% 62.3%

2008 42.6% 55.7%

2004 43.2% 56.1%

2000 45.6% 51.9%

:





East

5

Virginia

2020    54.1% 44.0%  biden

2016    49.7% 44.4% trump

2012    51.2% 47.3% obama

2008    52.6% 46.3% obama

2004    45.5% 53.7%  bush

2000    44.4% 52.5%  bush


6

Maryland


7

Columbia DC


8

Delaware


9

NewJersey


10

Connecticut


11

Pennsylvania

Black 12.0

Latino 7.6%

12

NewYork


13

Massachusets


14

RhodeIsland


.....

15

Vermont


16

NewHampshire


17

Maine


....

North

...

18

Michigan


19

Wisconsin


20

Minnesota


21

South Dakota


22

North Dakota


23

Montana


24

Idaho


...

West

..

25

Washington


26

Oregon


27

California


....

South

..

28

Alabama


29

Missisipi


30

Arkansas



31

Lousiana


32

Oklahoma


33

Texas


34

NewMexico


35

Arizona


...........

Mid South


36

Nevada


37

Utah


38

Colorado


39

Kansas


40

Missoury


41

Kentucky



42

Tennessy


43

west virginia


.......

Mid Norfh

....

44

Ohio


45

Indiana


46

Illinois


47

Iowa


48

Nebraska


49

Wyoming


50

Alaska



51

Hawai


.....





2000





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